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Spencer Strider is one of the best young pitchers in the Atlanta Braves organization. The Clemson product cracked the Braves Opening Day roster in 2022, initially working multi-inning stints out of the bullpen before ascending to the starting staff, where he not only found success but emerged as a bona fide front-of-the-rotation arm. Strider agreed to a six-year, $75 million deal that includes a $22 million option with a $5 million buyout for 2029. Strider will qualify for Super Two. pic . This is why Swanson will end up in LAD replacing Trea Turner, while theyll save 80-100M, reuniting Swansong with Freeman, and more importantly, Charlie. Musgrove also signed a team friendly extension w/his hometown Padres. Full-year historical Major League statistics provided by Pete Palmer and Gary Gillette of Hidden Game Sports. Now the baseball world is looking forward to what he could do while serving as a starter over an entire season. Generally not a fan of BTVs valuations, and your comment that the site is a general reference for trade values followed by They are off on a lot of things is a solid reason why I believe the site shouldnt be used as a factual source. FF fired his agent. To think 6 years ago Braves fans on here were defending their FO not trading Jim Johnson at the trade deadline and acting like finishing with a better record than the Phillies and Reds that year was going to lead to a giant step forward. Baez 14.5 WAR They may as well take it. Sure there is a chance that the Braves might save $20 million plus if Strider becomes an ace, but they are far more likely to waste $20 million plus if he doesnt. They are off on a lot of things, feel free too look me up, the site owner hates me for calling him out. The Braves are a Smart Proactive Organization. It seems about in the right range. Use of any marks, trademarks, or logos on this website shall not constitute a sponsorship or endorsement by the trademark holder. I imagine that will be Soto and Boras target, yeah. Anyone signing him to a Story like deal feels like a major overpay. Strider opened the season as a reliever but then solidified Atlanta's rotation, helping the Braves win their fifth consecutive NL East title. In reality though, they dont have too b/c some are just that damn team friendly. Nothing disingenuous about that. Hes been healthy for 3 straight years. You dont pay max arb prices to save $8M. Many historical player head shots courtesy of David Davis. @BaseballIsLife Thats not what the rule is. Atlanta Braves rookie pitcher Spencer Strider had himself a day against the Reds on Saturday - he struck out 11 hitters in just six innings of work and got the win to improve to 4-2 on the. His third career outing was his most dominant at the Major League level as Strider's strikeouts came on fastballs clocked at 99.2, 100.3, 100.3, 99.8 and 99.8 mph. After that 5-2 win over the Philadelphia Phillies, Strider told the team he didn't feel right. Born: For fans of baseballtradevalues.com, dont be surprised if he has negative $30M in value by 2025 when he has TJ surgery, misses a year and hes not quite as successful during his third or fourth pass through the league. Cano signed with Seattle, the Mets were just dumb enough to trade for him. $140 per post at $7/CPM. Corbin Burnes going into year 5, second arb season (1 year of control after 2023) is due to make $11.3M in his second to last trip through arbitration. Thats before considering a slate of arbitration-eligible players headlined by lefty Max Fried, whos projected by MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz to earn more than $12MM in 2023. Strider has two pitches. Obviously, $76MM in 2028 will carry less weight than $76MM in 2022, but its still a hefty commitment to have so far down the line. Now lets say you call Ticketmaster and they tell you that you will get one of the four tickets, but you dont know which one until you get to the ball game. If Baez and Story sign for 140 add in the shift going awaythe market for Dans is at least 140 plus. Doesnt take a genius to see which one is better for the team. Baez has been one of three most over rated players. The only thing accurate is the potentially, saved, and money. Winning always helps too. Strider kept it humble when discussing the extension with 'Bally Sports': The Atlanta Braves will begin their NLDS series against Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday. Story had to move off SS because his arms gone south and cant stay on the field. Prior to this deal, the five-year, $35MM contract Madison Bumgarner signed with the Giants more than a decade ago stood as the record extension for a pitcher with between one and two years of service time. Strikeouts have the highest correlation with statistical fall off. They shouldve gotten at least 3 guaranteed free agent years plus an option year for that kind of heavy payout, and even then its unnecessarily risky for the team compared to other early career extensions. Strider has been excellent in his first full season with Atlanta, going 11-5 with a 2.67 ERA and 202 strikeouts in 31 appearances (20 starts). On the other hand, thats a trivial concern when juxtaposed with the benefit of having so many high-end players signed for the next six-plus seasons. That kind of evaluation has gotten the Tigers and Red Sox stuck w/those two. Jansen and Duvall are gone after this yr. Morton, Odorizzi, Yates, and Rosario are gone after next yr. Ozuna will be gone after 2024. Swanson 11.2 WAR. In 2020, he returned to the field and began playing as a weekend starter. He is getting more then 3 years. @ice. 33. Makes it more sustainable to retain this core group long term. Theres talk ones coming. Swanson put up a 95 OPS+ and a 14.5 bWAR in his 7 seasons in the majors. $20M (2027) Except theyre going up against the Yankees time slots. Who are the Braves going to play at SS the 25% plus of the time Correas on the bench w/his bad back? Strider becomes the fourth young Braves star to be extended this season alone, joining first baseman Matt Olson (eight years, $168MM), center fielder Michael Harris II (eight years, $72MM) and star third baseman Austin Riley (ten years, $212MM). Its a horrible deal, set your expectations to hate it now, so you are less annoyed in 3 years. Hopefully he also didnt mean Scherzer, one terrible wildcard game from an elite pitcher like him still doesnt make him crap. See more salaries for 2021. Well, the rich smart teams. Rich teams have figured this out. He started the season in Atlanta. And as much as I like Acuna and Albies, the injuries have already taken a toll. Saying the Braves arent respected is to play the victim for victims sake. If you agree, than stop knit-picking what everyone else says. Extra year for winning division. Ambioris Tavarez, SS 11. Its not their young pitching, its pitching in general. $18M (2026) Id be shocked if Strider made more than $45 mil over the next 5 years in total if we let this all play out. He is Strider. Yeah, selling tickets is all that matters. Contact doesnt increase as bat speed wains, hand eye coordination deteriorates, and eye sight worsens. All information these cookies collect is aggregated and therefore anonymous. These deals take trust on both sides. Its an expensive extension by prior standards, but as I noted in the finalized version of our breakdown, the prior standards were beyond antiquated. Just here for Mets fans comments. Anyone else a lil bothered we got a 1:05/4:05 start times at Truist? Padres fans loved it in 2017 when they locked him up, but carrying the last 3 years of that deal was brutal for them. Spencer Strider: . I expect to see him elsewhere next year. $22M (2027) Strider will have one pre-arb year then 4 arb seasons. Trevor Bauers arb years: $6.5M (2018), $13M (2019), $17.5M (2020) First and foremost on the agenda will be negotiations with shortstop Dansby Swanson, wholl be a free agent once the postseason concludes. Core is in place for about as long as you want it to be. Long-term extensions do not preclude a player from getting those bonus pool dollars pre-arbitration. Sunday Funday is here, which means fantasy baseball waiver claims are, too. ~$22M (Arb3) From pursuing his hobbies to rebuilding his arm action and. Just saying. Wonder why they stupid overpay for him? They arent regretting losing Rendon. 3rd year $25.5 mm, and The Braves' 2022 season has been nothing short of impressive. Comedic relief regularly inserted by some sneaky good commenters. Spencer Strider's salary is $710,000 per year, which includes a $0 signing bonus. As usual, i was right. Id lose my crap if Seattle paid Kirby that much and he may have the best control since Greg Maddux with Smoltz level velo. Very much doubt it. establishing the players relationship through goodwill too for the future. A year ago, the Super 2 status was set a 2 years and 116 days, which is about normal, even low in recent years with most Super 2 status cutoffs falling in the 130s. Even then, Strider still has to match two of the best young pitchers in the game over the next 5 years to even have that conversation, which is not likely. I mean, were talking about MLB thats chosen to segregate their most loyal fans by continuing blacking-out games and fracturing the TV market with money-grab, inane exclusive streaming deals (i.e. Braves will be WS contenders for the next 5 years at least with this core. Thats $25 mil. They signed him to a lucrative six-year, $75 million extension on October 10. Grissom has about as much chance of playing a capable ML SS as a fan picked at random when they come through the gate. I have faith in you to sign you right now. (Age 22-338d, ". Imagine they had given a deal like this to Mike Soroka after his amazing rookie season in 2019. Thats the salary of players in year 2 and 3. Had the Yankees given Miguel Andujar the same treatment after the 2018 season, we would be having a completely different discussion. It allows them to know exactly how much room they have left in the budget. The work that Alex Anthopoulos is doing with the Braves is outstanding. I get it on the scheduling side by MLB but come on. Then you see it wrong, they are ALREADY PAYING HIM top dollar in this deal. This is irrelevant, this is such a stupid overpay. They signed scherzer only to make a run this and set an example for winning and pitching which he did. @bhambrave If you dont know what Super Two means dont try to talk about which players are or arent one. Spellcheck losers are awesome, sorry you missed the pun. Lets keep the core together. This seems like something the MLBPA would endorse. Geraldo Quintero, IF 8. The Braves have no SS prospects at the upper mil levels. Played 2019 w/a bad heel. Swansons best year is his contract year, and even then its only a 115 OPS+ (when 100 is league average). Can Story even play SS anymore? Now stand in the corner and think about what youve learned today. If he continues to dominate, his arm years wouldve skyrocketed. Swanson isnt as good as either of those players. Striders the first pitcher in MLB history to strike out over 200 hitters (202 Ks) and give up less than 100 hits (86.) These guys are gamers. One BB fewer per 9 and hes right around peak Jacob deGrom. Ozzie Albies is controllable through the '27 season. His love of the New York night life and illegal substances didnt help his career along either. Its a let me pay you now and you cut me a discount later. Around $150 million for those 7 seasons. If he is 2nd in ROY he is credited with a full year of service so he definitely would NOT be a Super Two. Why to constant trashing of the Mets when both teams won 101 games. Players dont sign team friendly contacts because they enjoy where they are. Ya this was a massive overpay for his final 2 arb years even if they get 2028 and an option for 29. Id hate to be him if he becomes human in Atlanta over the next 6 years. Thats conjecture, you stating what his arb years would or wouldnt be considering the volatility of pitchers, players with less than two years of major league experience, players with less than 150 major league innings, and who have barely seen each team once, when pitching has the advantage over hitting when neither has faced each other. Draft: Drafted by the Cleveland Indians in the 35th round of the 2017 MLB June Amateur Draft from Christian Academy of Knoxville (Knoxville, TN) and the Atlanta Braves in the 4th round of the 2020 MLB June Amateur Draft from Clemson University (Clemson, SC). Since 2019, Sure, they have control of Fried/Wright (even via arb), but Strider is the first long-term arm. Ill hang up and listen. And guess what? The estimates above are crazy. Strider finished with a 11-5 record, 2.62 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP through 31 games. Some defensive statistics Copyright Sports Info Solutions, 2010-2023. The way they draft and are able to get their players so sign long term for under market value is second to none. There is no amount of rationalizing that can excuse that. There is nothing historically to say that even if they were absurdly expensive compared to other pitchers that it would even match what he was promised. Because extensions, more so than free-agent contracts, draw heavily from recent comparables, the Strider deal in many ways paves the way for new precedent to be established in multiple service classes. We cant complain about how a big corporation treats people and not acknowledge when they get it right. Only a bust if he needs TJ or other major surgery in a year or two. Practically anyone who can browse streaming TV services in the first place can do it. Plug and Play Tech Center employees rate the . Your Shane Spencer strawman garbage makes no sense as a comp for any extension the Braves have executed. He doesnt even need to have constant injury problems. Even if Strider had Bob Gipsons 1968 season or even put up Verlanders 2022, there is no precedent for this contract. Swanson has not been nearly as good as Baez was prior to signing with the Tigers. Here it is again, for your convenience. That means $36 million for each of the two seasons. They do not store directly personal information, but are based on uniquely identifying your browser and internet device. $1M (2023) anybody signing Swanson for 6/120 will regret it. Those two pitchers both took home multiple pieces of hardware. @MJ: If you look at it from Striders perspective, hed be making a lot more money, regardless of where it comes from. Spencer Strider - Stats - Pitching | FanGraphs Baseball Spencer Strider Atlanta Braves Age: 24 Bats/Throws: R/R 6' 0" / 195 P Quick Look 2022 Pitch Summary: FA: 67% SL: 28% Prospects Report. So he was arb eligible for the first time during the same offseason that he would have been eligible if the Cubs never manipulated his service time. The Silver Strider is a nickname for Spencer Strider. Fried is the one you need locked up. Please login to leave a reply. Spencer Strider only appeared in one game for the Braves last season and was not very well-known around the league. The Braves have always gotten the day slots. People dont seem to understand just how good Striders peripherals are. Lets say you are going to a MLB game at your local stadium and for-the-sake-of-argument lets say there are only 4 seat choices: bleachers $15, nose-bleeds (2nd & 3rd deck) $40, between 1st and 3rd base behind the dugouts for $100, and a seat in a suite for $150. in Columbus, OH Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? Some young players start off with a bang and then quickly regress (think of Miguel Andujar with the NYY) while other players (especially pitchers) can get hurt and be out for more than a full season. By 9:30 a.m. Definitely one of the best pitchers in the game but when it truly matters he crumbled. Subscribe to Stathead Baseball: Get your first month FREEYour All-Access Ticket to the Baseball Reference Database. No its not at all about that. Strider has an 77% chance of avoiding it. He made his MLB debut in 2021. TO make the math easy lets just say by 20%. Freeman even took Seagers #5 jerseytoo easy. I would give this contract a 5% chance of paying off for the Braves due to injury risk, statistical volatility, x-factor changes in both personal life and professional baseball. I know the first few years here are cheap, but still . If the right billionaire acquired them and they signed say Judge, Trea and Arenado, this would be one truly awesome team and their payroll would still be less than several other teams. Max Fried who was a Super 2 player is going into year 5, third arb season (1 year of control after 2023) is due to make $12.2M in his second to last trip through arbitration an will have earned a grand total of $22.5M through 5 years. By comparison the Mariners sign Castillo at roughly $22M/year with a $5M option if he needs TJ surgery in the last 3 years with 80% of the contract covering FA years and coming with a similar option year. A.J. Would an arbitrator just look at a base salary as the springboard for a raise, or would they consider the bonuses as part of the salary when making those decisions? To be fair, the Apple games are absolutely free for anyone to watch and with no blackouts, so thats not one of the bad deals. Pads Fan. If i was om shark tank and im Mark cuban right now im clapping! Also, Swanson played all 60 games in 2020 and he missed only 2 games total in the 21-22 seasons. YOU HAVE 20,000 FOLLOWERS: $100 per post at a $5/CPM. $1MM for each of the 23 and 24 season is a bargain. Lots and lots and lots of people that dont realize what being in the top 2 of ROY voting means for service time. He hasnt performed at even close to their level. Besides, theyre already overpaying him in this extension in the first place. Lets say $30 mil for year 3. Was hoping this thread would continue without trolls insulting one another instead of adding actual substance to their argument. . Strider was the NL Rookie of the Year runner-up to Braves teammate Michael Harris II. In a general sense, the Harris deal is a great one, and Riley. Players dont sign team friendly contacts because they are happy where they are(Jose Ramirez disagreeS. High School: Christian Academy of Knoxville (Knoxville, TN), School: Clemson University (Clemson, SC), Debut: The Braves pay their 1.66 mil per season regardless for that. For a full look at the Braves' 2022 postseason schedule, click here. Spencer Strider's net worth $1 million. The Red Sox had the opportunity to do so with Betts, Bogaerts, and Devers a few years ago and blew the opportunity. . Olson can go either way, I think. Hes shown his ceiling to be so high that Im sure they wanted to lock it in place before hes outpriced himself, with another solid season. Look on baseballtradevalues.com, read their article on justifying Sotos value and how I criticized it before he was traded to the Padres and my calculations were almost dead on value. Exceeded rookie limits during 2022 season, 2023 Contract Status: Braves fans are setup extremely well. The Giants & Cubbies will follow and up the Goliaths to 5. They may be used by those companies to build a profile of your interests and show you relevant adverts on other sites. Shewmakes going to be lucky to carve out a career as a utility player for a 2nd Division team.