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Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. Nate Silver's. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. Listen to FiveThirtyEight Politics on Spotify. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. They also rank the Senate races that will be most important in determining which party controls the Senate next year. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. The U.S. shot down at least three unidentified flying objects over the weekend. They also review Democrats agenda for the current lame duck session in Congress and hold their first post-midterm 2024 Democratic primary draft. The full series is available now on Apple Podcasts (https://apple.co/2QQw8e9), Spotify (https://spoti.fi/3ukYgoq), or wherever you listen by searching "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson." Nevada Democrats introduced a bill on Monday that would change their state's presidential nominating contest from a caucus to a primary and also dislodge New Hampshire from its position as the first primary in the nation. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. Science reporter Maggie Koerth also joins to talk about shifting attitudes on climate change among Republicans. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. The crew breaks down notable primary races in Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. Almost a year after the 2020 Democratic National Convention, the crew looks back at the record number of Democrats who ran for president in 2020 and assesses where they are now. By May 21, 2021 0 . Economics Professor at George Washington University, Tara Sinclair, joins to explain what is going on with the economy and the potential consequences of a spike in prices. Five Thirty-Eight sometimes referred to as 538, focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging. david senak now. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the factors that went into Republican Glenn Youngkin winning the Virginia governor's race. Together they describe why the war has not turned out as originally expected, what the risks of escalation are today and how the conflict might come to an end. The podcast turns its focus abroad, to Canada and Germany, to see how other democracies' electoral systems work and what cleavages their politics are facing. The crew discusses what the future of the Build Back Better bill might look like in the Senate and why the provisions in the bill are more popular than the bill itself. The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. Galen speaks with reporter Kaleigh Rogers about how candidates who denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election did in the midterms and what the future of election denialism looks like. A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. The crew talks about why President Biden's approval is underwater, what the consequences are for Democrats and what they can do about it. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what he's learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. They also take a look at whether the Republican Party is conducting a post-mortem after its recent electoral losses. Feb. 25, 2021. info. My mid-week morning train WFH reads: The SPAC Fad Is Ending in a Pile of Bankruptcies and Fire Sales: At least eight businesses that went public through mergers with "blank-check" companies have sought protection from creditors. They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. What do we know about the novel coronavirus, and what do we know we don't know? The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. But you can form your own by listening and learning (and learning how to listen). The crew tries to unpack whats driving Democrats legislative decisions and who will have to compromise to pass the party's agenda. Rev. In the first "Model Talk" episode of the 2022 midterms cycle, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the factors behind that forecast. In the 2020 election cycle, Georgia found itself at the center of the American political universe. Max Fisher, author of the new book, "The Chaos Machine: The Inside Story of How Social Media Rewired Our Minds and Our World," speaks with Galen about the impacts of social media on politics globally and in the U.S. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. So, the usual. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. The crew hosts its first-ever 2024 Republican primary draft (they plan to follow up next week with a 2024 Democratic primary draft). Galen Druke speaks with George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair about the economics behind Americans pessimistic assessment of the economy. Local news is disappearing across the country. Sign up to get unlimited songs and podcasts with occasional ads. Overall, more moderate candidates were able to win against challengers from the Right and Left flank of both parties, although there was a sizable protest vote in some instances. Hosts of the British Talking Politics podcast, David Runciman and Helen Thompson, discuss why the British public and some members of the Conservative Party have soured on Johnson in a way that Republicans never soured on President Trump, despite his numerous scandals. Our tool analyzes your audio using Google voice recognition. And lastly, they check-in on the gubernatorial recall efforts in California that are very likely to result in a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. The crew discusses why the Kansas amendment that would have ended state constitutional rights to abortion failed by such a wide margin. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. The crew debates whether the Democratic Party really is actually in disarray as it struggles to pass legislation and faces a difficult midterm year, or if its hurdles are usual for any party in power. Two days after Election Day, control of the U.S. House and Senate still hangs in the balance as votes are tallied in the Western states. The crew asks whether comparisons to former President Donald Trump's own classified document scandal are apt. This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. They also check in on where the redistricting process stands around the country and ask what the two parties should be thankful for this Thanksgiving. As the House Select Committee for Jan. 6 publishes its final report, the crew considers what the committee's impact has been on American politics and former President Donald Trump's standing with voters. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. NEW TOWN . fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. File Upload. The crew debates why politicians break with their parties in high-profile ways and what the repercussions can be. Also, CalMatters Politics reporter Laurel Rosenhall and political analyst Paul Mitchell join to discuss the status of the California gubernatorial recall election. They also check in on the results from two recent primary elections in Ohio and announce the launch of FiveThirtyEights Redistricting Tracker. Join. They also have a good or bad use of polling on the topic of death and consider whether a recent Facebook hearing will lead to new regulations for the monolithic technology company. 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. The team also discusses public opinion on gun laws after recent mass shootings in Texas, New York and California. They also discuss the latest developments in the current round of redistricting. Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist FiveThirtyEight Politics https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/ Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. You can get between 30 cents to $1.10 for every audio minute, which sums up to $18 - $66 per audio hour. Thee also tracks the latest voting restrictions being considered by Georgia Republicans, including a proposal to end early voting on Sundays, which is when Black churches traditionally mobilize voters through "souls to the polls" events. The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. House Minority Leader Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and U.S. President Donald Trump attend a signing ceremony for H.R. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. Member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, Heather Boushey, joins the podcast to discuss what is in the American Rescue Plan and why. It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. 266, the . The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. The crew discusses two elections in Ohio this week that will test the sway of the establishment in both parties. Zach and ESPN's Michael Schwartz break down the red-hot Suns ahead of their showdown with the Warriors, then ESPN's Dave McMenamin checks in on the Lakers -- plus . Staff writer at The Atlantic Elaine Godfrey and political science professor Danny Hayes discuss the role local news plays in society and what happens when it erodes. The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. Texas has been in a dire situation this week. Late Wednesday night in a 5-4 decision, the Supreme Court chose not to block a Texas law banning most abortions after the sixth week of pregnancy -- making it the most restrictive abortion law in the country. Nate and Galen open the mailbag and answer listeners' questions about politics, polling and anything else on their minds. is it illegal to wear military uniform in australia. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. This is the second episode. The data behind that evolution is striking. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. In this installment, Jennifer Merolla, a Professor of Political Science at UC Riverside, and Hannah Hartig, a research associate at Pew Research Center reflect on the political climate in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 and whether a similar American consensus is possible today. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. According to a new poll from the Wall Street Journal, Hispanic voters are now split evenly between the Democratic and Republican parties, just one year after 60 percent voted for Democratic House candidates. Digital Expert Zone; Our Services; About Us; Get In Touch; Shop; dyckman shooting 2021. fairfield, ct concerts on the green 2021 0. 04:58 PM. The crew discusses how debates on both the debt ceiling and the future of Rep. George Santoss career might unfold. They also consider how Rep. George Santoss scandals will affect his tenure in Congress and whether he would have been elected at all if his fabricated biography had received more scrutiny during the campaign. send a tweet. Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency. This is the final episode. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. BOLIVAR The executive director of the Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne Joint Solid Waste Management District is going to resign from the position and will then be rehired. It's easy. The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. On Thursday, the Supreme Court wrapped up its first term with a 6-3 conservative majority on the bench. Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. You have to take and pass a grammar test, then submit a transcription template before you can get assignments from Rev. 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. But some Republicans are still jockeying for position to be the next leader of the party, the most prominent of which may be Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. Most recently, he ran and hosted 30 for 30 Podcasts, part of ESPN Films. Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial. Then Nathaniel Rakich and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join to discuss how abortion has played a role in elections this year and when we should know the results of next months midterms. Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. And what does Floridas new voting law tell us about the GOPs efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the partys larger motivations? gold rush supreme second chance winners. The crew discusses Congress's recent slew of legislation and whether that trend will continue with the new "Inflation Reduction Act." Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what hes learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. The crew analyzes new polling suggesting Americans support enforcing a no-fly zone over Ukraine and banning the purchase of Russian oil even if it increases gas prices. fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt. Preview of Spotify. Democrat and former state Rep. Mary Peltola won Alaska's special congressional election on Wednesday, defeating Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III. Galen Druke talks to Nicole Hemmer about her new book, "Partisans: The Conservative Revolutionaries Who Remade American Politics in the 1990s.". The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. 01:06 PM. They also debate the meaning of a recent poll from Axios that suggests Americans are exhausted. MAJORITY 255 REP SEATS 240 225 225 240 255 DEM SEATS 84 in 100 84 in 100 Republicans win Republicans win 16 in 100 16 in 100 . Micah Cohen and Kaleigh Rogers also join to talk about why Republicans are not backing a bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol. Given some of the caveats in the poll, the crew asks whether it's a good or bad use of polling. They also ask whether the Republican Party can coalesce around an alternative to former President Donald Trump and whether President Bidens recent dismissal of the polls is a good or bad use of polling. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. Our podcast helps listeners understand what they can be certain about, and what is still unknown. Nathaniel Rakich discusses why it's difficult to draw a broader conclusion about the political environment based on the result. Republican Mayra Flores won the special election in Texass 34th congressional district on Tuesday, avoiding a runoff and flipping the longtime Democratic seat in Texass Rio Grande Valley. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what's behind the recent movement in the forecast and answer questions from listeners. With one week left until Election Day, the crew analyzes some of the high-profile races and which issues Americans care about most as they enter the voting booth. Legal scholar Kate Shaw also digs into some of the specifics of the terms major cases, particularly on election law. 450 episodes. 3 min read. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. Instagram did not return a 200. Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. [00:00:19] Galen Druke is the host and producer of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Galen Druke and Perry Bacon Jr. speak with political scientist and pastor, Ryan Burge, about how declining American religiosity is shaping our society and politics. They also debate whether phone or online polling is a better tool for gauging Americans' views on sensitive topics like the death penalty, and they preview a forthcoming report on how FiveThirtyEight's forecast models did in 2020. In this installment, we put that primary in context by looking more broadly at the relationship between urban centers and the Democratic Party. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn It's a big election week for liberal democracies. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19 The Ticket - A Presidential Podcast comes from the Texas Tribune. The crew reacts to Senator Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff. Today, we wanted to share the first episode of the ABC News podcast series, "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson," which uncovers the former first lady's surprisingly powerful role in the Johnson presidency and includes history-making revelations about Lyndon B. Johnsons time in office. The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. I'm Galen Truk. Bot Love was created by Diego Senior. (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . Politics Podcast: Could Nikki Haley Actually Win The GOP Nomination? Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. 10 Wednesday AM Reads. The crew talks about where Americans stand on mitigation efforts, how politicians are responding, and what public health experts are saying about the current state of the pandemic. What do we know, how confidently do we know it and what do we know we dont know? What happens when a former president is facing all kinds of legal liability on the federal and local level, but is also still the de facto party leader and considering another run for the White House? In this installment of Model Talk," Nate and Galen reflect on the many twists and turns of the 2022 campaign so far, including the most salient policy issues and what the final results could tell us about pollsters performance this cycle. It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. They also talk about how the California recall election is shaping up after a recent poll showed increased support for recalling current Governor Gavin Newsom. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. FiveThirtyEight Politics News Latest Transcripts How To Make Polls Better 240 views about 2 years ago 01:12:44 Galen Druke speaks with two A+ rated pollsters, J. Ann Selzer and Patrick Murray, about how they view the challenges of polling and what can be done about them. Edit your transcribed text. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. They also discuss moderate Senate Democrats' push to amend some of the provisions in the American Rescue plan and look at the politics and science behind the push to loosen covid-19 restrictions in states. Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez announced he is retiring from Congress at the end of his term. The crew looks at what Americans think about aid to Ukraine one year on, how the public may respond to Sen. John Fetterman's treatment for clinical depression and former President Trump's legal liability in a Fulton County investigation. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. The crew discusses how President Bidens executive action that forgives up to $20,000 of student loan debt will impact politics and the economy. During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. They also discuss why gas stoves became such a hot topic of debate on the internet and what the 2024 primary for U.S. Senate in California will look like. Latino voters swung by eight percentage points toward President Trump in the last election, the largest swing of any racial or ethnic group in the electorate. They also discuss how incumbents have been faring overall in this midterms primaries. New York City-based political reporters Gloria Pazmino and Erin Durkin discuss the current lay of the land in the Democratic mayoral primary and the issues that are motivating voters with less than a month until the election. The report relies on advanced climate modeling to illustrate where global warming is headed. . FiveThirtyEight contributor Laura Bronner shares what the data can tell us about the ideological direction of the court with the addition of Justice Amy Coney Barrett. They also talk about what states are doing with their billions in excess cash and look into opinion polling on the U.S.s involvement in Ukraine. They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling. According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. Democrat Melanie Stansbury won a special election in New Mexico's first congressional district by a 25-point margin last Tuesday, performing better than Democrats did in the district in 2020. The crew discusses the politically thorny issue of mental acuity in an increasingly elderly U.S. government, and what Americans think about age limits for public office. COVID-19 has pushed Americans into more uncertain territory than most have ever known. The crew discusses which states will determine the balance of both chambers and what theyve learned from this election so far. The crew breaks down the results of the June 7 primaries. The board of directors voted Friday to accept the resignation of David Held, effective June 1, and will then offer him the same job on . In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing. He rejected the presidents requests and has consistently spoken out against conspiracy theories surrounding the election. Above, storm clouds over downtown Laramie, Wyo., on Aug. 13, 2022. The crew discusses why some Republican candidates are changing their tune about the legitimacy of the 2020 election depending on the situation. As of this writing, we still dont know which party will control the House or Senate, and we may not know come the morning. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? This is why we are coming every fortnight on your podcast platforms to help you make sense of the new and now. We assess the state of American democracy, based on a new survey from Bright Line Watch, a group of political scientists that monitors threats to our democratic systems. As Emanuel Macron has occupied the middle of the political spectrum in France, with a focus on cooperation among European nations, the opposition parties have moved toward a nationalist, populist agenda. Galen speaks with him. The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers.